Intellectual Frontiers

Write One Claim Card for Each Claim That Would Change Your Decision

The Claim Card form

Use one card per claim, in the seller’s own words. The chapter “Count Evidence Only When It Cost the Seller Something” defines the Three Tests and the seven rungs of the Cost-to-Seller Ladder and fills in one card.

Field Your entry

Claim, in the seller’s words

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Decision it would change

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Reasonable alternative (a different product, build, generate once, or do nothing)

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Evidence offered, one item per line

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Rung of each item (1 Assertion, 2 Display, 3 Reference, 4 Inspection, 5 Trial on your terms, 6 Stake, 7 Outcome record)

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What each item cost the seller (money, time, access, data, reputation, or a changed decision; or nothing)

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How you check it without relying on the seller’s word

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What would show the claim false

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Run the Three Tests

For each item at rung 3 or higher, answer yes, no, or unknown.

Evidence item Decision test: would it change a real decision? Cost test: did it cost the seller something real? Check test: can you verify it without the seller’s word?

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Evidence counts only when all three answers are yes. A reference counts only if you chose whom to call. A demonstration, a badge, an analyst placement, and expressed interest never count.

State the result

Write one of three results: the claim counts; the claim counts only after the named evidence is added; or the claim does not count. Say why in two sentences.