Write the Hiring-Bet Memo Before the Offer

Complete this before the offer.

We are choosing [CANDIDATE] for the [ROLE DESIGN] because evidence from [SOURCES] shows strength in [CRITICAL CRITERIA]. We believe those strengths will produce [MANDATE OUTCOMES] under these conditions: [CONDITIONS]. The reasonable alternative to this hire is [ALTERNATIVE], and we expect this appointment to outperform it by [OBSERVABLE RESULT]. The main unresolved risks are [RISKS]. We will reduce or test them through [SUPPORT, AUTHORITY, OR CHECKPOINT]. The company must provide [COMMITMENTS]. We would change our view if, by [DATE], we observed [DISCONFIRMING SIGNALS].

Attach a short evidence table. Do not include unsupported comparative language such as “best candidate” without stating best for what.