Intellectual Frontiers

Pattern

Causal Evaluation plan

Choose enough comparison to tell whether a recomposed workflow caused the claimed change. The plan matches the study design to the claim and narrows the claim when the design cannot distinguish the intervention from staffing, case mix, policy, or season, because operational acceptance and causal effect answer different questions.

Inputs

Decision, outcome, baseline, population, timing, confounders, rollout options, and available comparison groups.

Method

Choose a baseline, matched comparison, phased rollout, interrupted time series, difference in differences, randomization, or prospective trial in proportion to the claim.

Output

A study plan with estimand, measures, exclusions, distributional analysis, and decision threshold.

Boundary

Operational acceptance and causal effect answer different questions.

Stop

Narrow the claim when the available design cannot distinguish the intervention from staffing, case mix, policy, season, or other changes.

Related

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