Pattern
Public signal evidence ledger
This note finds that a public signal can justify investigation but is not a validated opportunity until external commitment or real-world evidence supports it. The ledger keeps sourced observations separate from calculations, interpretations, AI inferences, hypotheses and commercial claims. Keep sourced observations separate from calculations, interpretations, AI inferences, hypotheses, and commercial claims.
Ledger
Record source, dataset, version, publication date, observed date, period, coverage, entity, geography, exact event or value, calculation, permitted use, and refresh cadence.
Interpretation
Add claim type, interpretation, confidence, limitations, contradictory signals, alternative explanations, missing private evidence, and the next validation step in separate fields.
Rule
A public signal can justify investigation. It does not become a validated opportunity until external commitment or real-world evidence supports it.