Theory
Scarcity migration and half-life review
Review where scarcity sat, where it sits now, and which change will move it next. The review ends in a decision to protect, test, move effort, open a layer, license, sell, maintain, or stop. A date without a named change and evidence is guesswork, not an asset half-life.
Map
Record past, current, and likely future scarcity across AI, platforms, regulation, cost, customers, competition, rights, and demand.
Half-life
Estimate which event would materially weaken or strengthen the advantage and how soon that event could occur.
Decision
Choose protect, test, move effort, open a layer, license, sell, maintain, or stop.
Limit
A date without a named change and evidence is guesswork, not an asset half-life.